What are the chances that I’ll be hospitalized if I get COVID-19?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Infection and Spread Treatments
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: The risk of ending up in the hospital for COVID-19 varies quite a bit by age. Based on data from the state of Wisconsin, the chances of being hospitalized (given that you’ve had a positive test for COVID-19) range from 1 in 100 for kids to 1 in 3 for people aged 80 and Read more…
Dear Pandemic COVID Q&A
Biology/Immunity Data and Metrics Infection and Spread Socializing Staying Safe Videos
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
Drs. Lindsey Leininger & Malia Jones tackle your COVID questions, including what’s up with curfews, immunity passes, and declining death rates. ➡️ Intro and website info (:00 – 3:59) ➡️ Lightning round (4:00 – 9:39) ➡️ Immunity: personal + herd (9:40 – 17:55) ➡️ Curfews to curb spread? (18:30 – 25:15) ➡️ Cases up, death Read more…
I heard somewhere that doctors and hospitals are falsely claiming deaths are due to COVID-19 and incorrectly increasing the case counts. Is that true?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Sarah Whitley Coles, MD
A: No. There is no evidence that healthcare professionals are inflating the numbers of COVID-19 cases. Understanding the role of death certificates and how they are completed can help you get to the bottom of it. There has been increased circulation of a false claim that clinicians and hospitals are inflating the number of COVID-19 Read more…
I can’t help but notice how well Maine is controlling COVID-19. What’s their secret? Rural state? Rich state? Not many older people?
Data and Metrics Infection and Spread Testing and Contact Tracing
Alison Buttenheim, PhD MBA, Co-founder & Advisor
A: Nope to those three, but yes to leadership, preparation, testing & tracing, and calm, science-based communication. It’s true: Maine is doing very well by almost all metrics used to track the epidemic. While 21 states had their highest daily case counts in the last 3 weeks, Maine’s single day record cases happened way back Read more…
What is the real death toll due to COVID-19?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
Q: Are we OVER or UNDER counting COVID-19 deaths? Wouldn’t a lot of these people have died anyway? A: The death toll has been HIGH. We are likely UNDER counting deaths due to COVID-19. While some deaths attributed to COVID-19 would have occurred during this period anyway, we have a way to account for this Read more…
Is it true that Sweden has gotten to herd immunity without lockdown? Should we all be doing what they are doing?
Data and Metrics Infection and Spread
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: No, Sweden has not reached herd immunity, nor have they fared well economically or with respect to COVID-19 mortality. Swedes also voluntarily changed behavior more than is frequently assumed. While there has been a fascination with being Sweden during this pandemic, there are many misconceptions about their experience that are worth clearing up: *Myth Read more…
If I have a symptomatic case of COVID, what are the chances I have a full recovery?
Clinical Symptoms Data and Metrics
Alison Buttenheim, PhD MBA, Co-founder & Advisor
A: On *average*, about 80% of symptomatic cases will recover without hospitalization. But (big big but): your mileage may vary. One of the things epidemiologists study is the “natural history” of a disease — or how a given disease progresses in individuals from start to finish. Most diseases and conditions have a stylized or typical Read more…
What is the real risk of death from COVID-19? Is it actually worse than the flu?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: It’s complicated…. but YES! In this update of a post from July, we take stock of what’s new in tracking how lethal SARS-CoV-1 actually is. First some definitions: Case Fatality Rate (CFR): % of confirmed cases who die. In the U.S., the estimated CFR is currently 2.9% In the U.K., the estimated CFR is Read more…
What exactly is a “superspreader” and what makes one person a superspreader and another person not?
Data and Metrics Infection and Spread
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: The word “superspreader” simply refers to someone who is infected with COVID-19 and–somehow–manages to pass it along to a whole lot of other people. Specifically, a superspreader infects many more people than you would expect based on the averages. We’ve seen situations where one infected person got dozens of others sick. We’ve also seen Read more…
Can you put the United States death toll from Covid-19 into context?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Social and Racial Justice
Ashley Ritter, APRN, PhD
A: More than 200,000 Americans have lost their lives to Covid-19. Counting does not do justice to the memory of each individual lost or the societal impact on our communities. Putting this huge number into context depends upon how we frame this mass casualty, our personal biases, and our proximity to death. Coronavirus is one Read more…
Is COVID-19 becoming less deadly?
Data and Metrics
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
Q: Why are deaths not as high as in the Spring? A: There is no evidence that the virus itself has become milder. The lower numbers of deaths we see now compared to equivalent numbers of cases in the Spring is likely due to 3 main factors: 1) MORE TESTING: Early in the pandemic we Read more…
What’s going on with the rise in SARS-CoV-2 cases in Spain? It sounds really bad.
Biology/Immunity Data and Metrics Infection and Spread
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
Q: Since they were already hit hard once, shouldn’t they have some herd immunity? A: Spain has seen an alarming increase in confirmed cases since mid-July, even surpassing the U.S. in daily cases per capita. But so far, deaths have only ticked up slightly compared to the height of their epidemic in March and April Read more…
Did the Sturgis bike rally really cause 266,796 new COVID-19 cases?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Infection and Spread Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: Extremely unlikely. (but that doesn’t mean it didn’t increase transmission…) The Nerdy Girls want to give you straight talk about the data whether or not it comports with our pre-existing views (like the general idea that mass gatherings are *not* a good idea during the pandemic). Trust in science relies on having high standards Read more…
So the CDC just released data that said 94% of U.S. COVID-19 deaths had underlying medical conditions?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: FALSE. We’ve heard this interpretation is making the rounds, but it’s just not correct. What did the CDC data say? The report summarized all deaths in the U.S. from Feb until August 22nd with COVID-19 on the death certificate (161,392 total deaths). The CDC reports that for 6% of these deaths COVID-19 was the Read more…
Absolute vs. Relative Risk
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Lindsey Leininger, PhD MA
Friendly Pop Quiz! Which of these two statements sounds more impressive? (1) “Terrific Treatment reduced COVID mortality risk 50%!” (2) “Terrific Treatment reduced COVID mortality risk from 2 per 100 to 1 per 100!” The first of these two equivalent statements is, of course, the “right” answer. Which is why we scientists – in the Read more…
How do I know how much community transmission there is in my community? I am swimming in data! Someone throw me a rope!
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Infection and Spread
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: We recommend checking this awesome data exploration tool from Harvard University’s Global Health Institute. We’ve talked a lot here at Dear Pandemic about how important community spread of COVID is, and how it’s necessary for anything like safe reopening in any setting–from first grades to zoos. The map at the top of the Path Read more…
Are we OVER or UNDER counting COVID-19 deaths?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: We are likely UNDER counting official deaths due to COVID-19. How do we know? While we are not necessarily good at attributing deaths accurately to specific causes, developed countries are good at counting ALL deaths. While some deaths attributed to COVID-19 would have occurred during this period anyway, we can calculate “EXCESS MORTALITY” – Read more…
What’s up with this “programming error” in the Florida data on kids? How does this change things?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Testing and Contact Tracing
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: TL;DR Whether the positivity rate is 14% or 30% for kids, Florida still has a COVID problem. And with respect to the data error, we need to have a little understanding. Public health departments are trying to do something very difficult on shoestring budgets. Data collection in a crisis is messy and sometimes we Read more…
Population Basics Part 2
Data and Metrics
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
PART 2 on population basics from Dr. Michal Engelman. In case you missed Part 1 in this Nerdy Guest miniseries, here it is! Q: Ok, now I understand what a population (and even a sub-population!) is… but why does that matter for dealing with COVID-19? Population scientists can’t predict which people will get COVID-19, but Read more…
A: The risk of ending up in the hospital for COVID-19 varies quite a bit by age. Based on data from the state of Wisconsin, the chances of being hospitalized (given that you’ve had a positive test for COVID-19) range from 1 in 100 for kids to 1 in 3 for people aged 80 and Read more…
Dear Pandemic COVID Q&A
Biology/Immunity Data and Metrics Infection and Spread Socializing Staying Safe VideosMalia Jones, PhD MPH
Drs. Lindsey Leininger & Malia Jones tackle your COVID questions, including what’s up with curfews, immunity passes, and declining death rates. ➡️ Intro and website info (:00 – 3:59) ➡️ Lightning round (4:00 – 9:39) ➡️ Immunity: personal + herd (9:40 – 17:55) ➡️ Curfews to curb spread? (18:30 – 25:15) ➡️ Cases up, death Read more…
I heard somewhere that doctors and hospitals are falsely claiming deaths are due to COVID-19 and incorrectly increasing the case counts. Is that true?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Sarah Whitley Coles, MD
A: No. There is no evidence that healthcare professionals are inflating the numbers of COVID-19 cases. Understanding the role of death certificates and how they are completed can help you get to the bottom of it. There has been increased circulation of a false claim that clinicians and hospitals are inflating the number of COVID-19 Read more…
I can’t help but notice how well Maine is controlling COVID-19. What’s their secret? Rural state? Rich state? Not many older people?
Data and Metrics Infection and Spread Testing and Contact Tracing
Alison Buttenheim, PhD MBA, Co-founder & Advisor
A: Nope to those three, but yes to leadership, preparation, testing & tracing, and calm, science-based communication. It’s true: Maine is doing very well by almost all metrics used to track the epidemic. While 21 states had their highest daily case counts in the last 3 weeks, Maine’s single day record cases happened way back Read more…
What is the real death toll due to COVID-19?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
Q: Are we OVER or UNDER counting COVID-19 deaths? Wouldn’t a lot of these people have died anyway? A: The death toll has been HIGH. We are likely UNDER counting deaths due to COVID-19. While some deaths attributed to COVID-19 would have occurred during this period anyway, we have a way to account for this Read more…
Is it true that Sweden has gotten to herd immunity without lockdown? Should we all be doing what they are doing?
Data and Metrics Infection and Spread
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: No, Sweden has not reached herd immunity, nor have they fared well economically or with respect to COVID-19 mortality. Swedes also voluntarily changed behavior more than is frequently assumed. While there has been a fascination with being Sweden during this pandemic, there are many misconceptions about their experience that are worth clearing up: *Myth Read more…
If I have a symptomatic case of COVID, what are the chances I have a full recovery?
Clinical Symptoms Data and Metrics
Alison Buttenheim, PhD MBA, Co-founder & Advisor
A: On *average*, about 80% of symptomatic cases will recover without hospitalization. But (big big but): your mileage may vary. One of the things epidemiologists study is the “natural history” of a disease — or how a given disease progresses in individuals from start to finish. Most diseases and conditions have a stylized or typical Read more…
What is the real risk of death from COVID-19? Is it actually worse than the flu?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: It’s complicated…. but YES! In this update of a post from July, we take stock of what’s new in tracking how lethal SARS-CoV-1 actually is. First some definitions: Case Fatality Rate (CFR): % of confirmed cases who die. In the U.S., the estimated CFR is currently 2.9% In the U.K., the estimated CFR is Read more…
What exactly is a “superspreader” and what makes one person a superspreader and another person not?
Data and Metrics Infection and Spread
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: The word “superspreader” simply refers to someone who is infected with COVID-19 and–somehow–manages to pass it along to a whole lot of other people. Specifically, a superspreader infects many more people than you would expect based on the averages. We’ve seen situations where one infected person got dozens of others sick. We’ve also seen Read more…
Can you put the United States death toll from Covid-19 into context?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Social and Racial Justice
Ashley Ritter, APRN, PhD
A: More than 200,000 Americans have lost their lives to Covid-19. Counting does not do justice to the memory of each individual lost or the societal impact on our communities. Putting this huge number into context depends upon how we frame this mass casualty, our personal biases, and our proximity to death. Coronavirus is one Read more…
Is COVID-19 becoming less deadly?
Data and Metrics
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
Q: Why are deaths not as high as in the Spring? A: There is no evidence that the virus itself has become milder. The lower numbers of deaths we see now compared to equivalent numbers of cases in the Spring is likely due to 3 main factors: 1) MORE TESTING: Early in the pandemic we Read more…
What’s going on with the rise in SARS-CoV-2 cases in Spain? It sounds really bad.
Biology/Immunity Data and Metrics Infection and Spread
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
Q: Since they were already hit hard once, shouldn’t they have some herd immunity? A: Spain has seen an alarming increase in confirmed cases since mid-July, even surpassing the U.S. in daily cases per capita. But so far, deaths have only ticked up slightly compared to the height of their epidemic in March and April Read more…
Did the Sturgis bike rally really cause 266,796 new COVID-19 cases?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Infection and Spread Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: Extremely unlikely. (but that doesn’t mean it didn’t increase transmission…) The Nerdy Girls want to give you straight talk about the data whether or not it comports with our pre-existing views (like the general idea that mass gatherings are *not* a good idea during the pandemic). Trust in science relies on having high standards Read more…
So the CDC just released data that said 94% of U.S. COVID-19 deaths had underlying medical conditions?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: FALSE. We’ve heard this interpretation is making the rounds, but it’s just not correct. What did the CDC data say? The report summarized all deaths in the U.S. from Feb until August 22nd with COVID-19 on the death certificate (161,392 total deaths). The CDC reports that for 6% of these deaths COVID-19 was the Read more…
Absolute vs. Relative Risk
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Lindsey Leininger, PhD MA
Friendly Pop Quiz! Which of these two statements sounds more impressive? (1) “Terrific Treatment reduced COVID mortality risk 50%!” (2) “Terrific Treatment reduced COVID mortality risk from 2 per 100 to 1 per 100!” The first of these two equivalent statements is, of course, the “right” answer. Which is why we scientists – in the Read more…
How do I know how much community transmission there is in my community? I am swimming in data! Someone throw me a rope!
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Infection and Spread
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: We recommend checking this awesome data exploration tool from Harvard University’s Global Health Institute. We’ve talked a lot here at Dear Pandemic about how important community spread of COVID is, and how it’s necessary for anything like safe reopening in any setting–from first grades to zoos. The map at the top of the Path Read more…
Are we OVER or UNDER counting COVID-19 deaths?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: We are likely UNDER counting official deaths due to COVID-19. How do we know? While we are not necessarily good at attributing deaths accurately to specific causes, developed countries are good at counting ALL deaths. While some deaths attributed to COVID-19 would have occurred during this period anyway, we can calculate “EXCESS MORTALITY” – Read more…
What’s up with this “programming error” in the Florida data on kids? How does this change things?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Testing and Contact Tracing
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: TL;DR Whether the positivity rate is 14% or 30% for kids, Florida still has a COVID problem. And with respect to the data error, we need to have a little understanding. Public health departments are trying to do something very difficult on shoestring budgets. Data collection in a crisis is messy and sometimes we Read more…
Population Basics Part 2
Data and Metrics
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
PART 2 on population basics from Dr. Michal Engelman. In case you missed Part 1 in this Nerdy Guest miniseries, here it is! Q: Ok, now I understand what a population (and even a sub-population!) is… but why does that matter for dealing with COVID-19? Population scientists can’t predict which people will get COVID-19, but Read more…
Drs. Lindsey Leininger & Malia Jones tackle your COVID questions, including what’s up with curfews, immunity passes, and declining death rates. ➡️ Intro and website info (:00 – 3:59) ➡️ Lightning round (4:00 – 9:39) ➡️ Immunity: personal + herd (9:40 – 17:55) ➡️ Curfews to curb spread? (18:30 – 25:15) ➡️ Cases up, death Read more…
I heard somewhere that doctors and hospitals are falsely claiming deaths are due to COVID-19 and incorrectly increasing the case counts. Is that true?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and MisinformationSarah Whitley Coles, MD
A: No. There is no evidence that healthcare professionals are inflating the numbers of COVID-19 cases. Understanding the role of death certificates and how they are completed can help you get to the bottom of it. There has been increased circulation of a false claim that clinicians and hospitals are inflating the number of COVID-19 Read more…
I can’t help but notice how well Maine is controlling COVID-19. What’s their secret? Rural state? Rich state? Not many older people?
Data and Metrics Infection and Spread Testing and Contact Tracing
Alison Buttenheim, PhD MBA, Co-founder & Advisor
A: Nope to those three, but yes to leadership, preparation, testing & tracing, and calm, science-based communication. It’s true: Maine is doing very well by almost all metrics used to track the epidemic. While 21 states had their highest daily case counts in the last 3 weeks, Maine’s single day record cases happened way back Read more…
What is the real death toll due to COVID-19?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
Q: Are we OVER or UNDER counting COVID-19 deaths? Wouldn’t a lot of these people have died anyway? A: The death toll has been HIGH. We are likely UNDER counting deaths due to COVID-19. While some deaths attributed to COVID-19 would have occurred during this period anyway, we have a way to account for this Read more…
Is it true that Sweden has gotten to herd immunity without lockdown? Should we all be doing what they are doing?
Data and Metrics Infection and Spread
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: No, Sweden has not reached herd immunity, nor have they fared well economically or with respect to COVID-19 mortality. Swedes also voluntarily changed behavior more than is frequently assumed. While there has been a fascination with being Sweden during this pandemic, there are many misconceptions about their experience that are worth clearing up: *Myth Read more…
If I have a symptomatic case of COVID, what are the chances I have a full recovery?
Clinical Symptoms Data and Metrics
Alison Buttenheim, PhD MBA, Co-founder & Advisor
A: On *average*, about 80% of symptomatic cases will recover without hospitalization. But (big big but): your mileage may vary. One of the things epidemiologists study is the “natural history” of a disease — or how a given disease progresses in individuals from start to finish. Most diseases and conditions have a stylized or typical Read more…
What is the real risk of death from COVID-19? Is it actually worse than the flu?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: It’s complicated…. but YES! In this update of a post from July, we take stock of what’s new in tracking how lethal SARS-CoV-1 actually is. First some definitions: Case Fatality Rate (CFR): % of confirmed cases who die. In the U.S., the estimated CFR is currently 2.9% In the U.K., the estimated CFR is Read more…
What exactly is a “superspreader” and what makes one person a superspreader and another person not?
Data and Metrics Infection and Spread
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: The word “superspreader” simply refers to someone who is infected with COVID-19 and–somehow–manages to pass it along to a whole lot of other people. Specifically, a superspreader infects many more people than you would expect based on the averages. We’ve seen situations where one infected person got dozens of others sick. We’ve also seen Read more…
Can you put the United States death toll from Covid-19 into context?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Social and Racial Justice
Ashley Ritter, APRN, PhD
A: More than 200,000 Americans have lost their lives to Covid-19. Counting does not do justice to the memory of each individual lost or the societal impact on our communities. Putting this huge number into context depends upon how we frame this mass casualty, our personal biases, and our proximity to death. Coronavirus is one Read more…
Is COVID-19 becoming less deadly?
Data and Metrics
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
Q: Why are deaths not as high as in the Spring? A: There is no evidence that the virus itself has become milder. The lower numbers of deaths we see now compared to equivalent numbers of cases in the Spring is likely due to 3 main factors: 1) MORE TESTING: Early in the pandemic we Read more…
What’s going on with the rise in SARS-CoV-2 cases in Spain? It sounds really bad.
Biology/Immunity Data and Metrics Infection and Spread
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
Q: Since they were already hit hard once, shouldn’t they have some herd immunity? A: Spain has seen an alarming increase in confirmed cases since mid-July, even surpassing the U.S. in daily cases per capita. But so far, deaths have only ticked up slightly compared to the height of their epidemic in March and April Read more…
Did the Sturgis bike rally really cause 266,796 new COVID-19 cases?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Infection and Spread Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: Extremely unlikely. (but that doesn’t mean it didn’t increase transmission…) The Nerdy Girls want to give you straight talk about the data whether or not it comports with our pre-existing views (like the general idea that mass gatherings are *not* a good idea during the pandemic). Trust in science relies on having high standards Read more…
So the CDC just released data that said 94% of U.S. COVID-19 deaths had underlying medical conditions?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: FALSE. We’ve heard this interpretation is making the rounds, but it’s just not correct. What did the CDC data say? The report summarized all deaths in the U.S. from Feb until August 22nd with COVID-19 on the death certificate (161,392 total deaths). The CDC reports that for 6% of these deaths COVID-19 was the Read more…
Absolute vs. Relative Risk
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Lindsey Leininger, PhD MA
Friendly Pop Quiz! Which of these two statements sounds more impressive? (1) “Terrific Treatment reduced COVID mortality risk 50%!” (2) “Terrific Treatment reduced COVID mortality risk from 2 per 100 to 1 per 100!” The first of these two equivalent statements is, of course, the “right” answer. Which is why we scientists – in the Read more…
How do I know how much community transmission there is in my community? I am swimming in data! Someone throw me a rope!
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Infection and Spread
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: We recommend checking this awesome data exploration tool from Harvard University’s Global Health Institute. We’ve talked a lot here at Dear Pandemic about how important community spread of COVID is, and how it’s necessary for anything like safe reopening in any setting–from first grades to zoos. The map at the top of the Path Read more…
Are we OVER or UNDER counting COVID-19 deaths?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: We are likely UNDER counting official deaths due to COVID-19. How do we know? While we are not necessarily good at attributing deaths accurately to specific causes, developed countries are good at counting ALL deaths. While some deaths attributed to COVID-19 would have occurred during this period anyway, we can calculate “EXCESS MORTALITY” – Read more…
What’s up with this “programming error” in the Florida data on kids? How does this change things?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Testing and Contact Tracing
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: TL;DR Whether the positivity rate is 14% or 30% for kids, Florida still has a COVID problem. And with respect to the data error, we need to have a little understanding. Public health departments are trying to do something very difficult on shoestring budgets. Data collection in a crisis is messy and sometimes we Read more…
Population Basics Part 2
Data and Metrics
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
PART 2 on population basics from Dr. Michal Engelman. In case you missed Part 1 in this Nerdy Guest miniseries, here it is! Q: Ok, now I understand what a population (and even a sub-population!) is… but why does that matter for dealing with COVID-19? Population scientists can’t predict which people will get COVID-19, but Read more…
A: No. There is no evidence that healthcare professionals are inflating the numbers of COVID-19 cases. Understanding the role of death certificates and how they are completed can help you get to the bottom of it. There has been increased circulation of a false claim that clinicians and hospitals are inflating the number of COVID-19 Read more…
I can’t help but notice how well Maine is controlling COVID-19. What’s their secret? Rural state? Rich state? Not many older people?
Data and Metrics Infection and Spread Testing and Contact TracingAlison Buttenheim, PhD MBA, Co-founder & Advisor
A: Nope to those three, but yes to leadership, preparation, testing & tracing, and calm, science-based communication. It’s true: Maine is doing very well by almost all metrics used to track the epidemic. While 21 states had their highest daily case counts in the last 3 weeks, Maine’s single day record cases happened way back Read more…
What is the real death toll due to COVID-19?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
Q: Are we OVER or UNDER counting COVID-19 deaths? Wouldn’t a lot of these people have died anyway? A: The death toll has been HIGH. We are likely UNDER counting deaths due to COVID-19. While some deaths attributed to COVID-19 would have occurred during this period anyway, we have a way to account for this Read more…
Is it true that Sweden has gotten to herd immunity without lockdown? Should we all be doing what they are doing?
Data and Metrics Infection and Spread
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: No, Sweden has not reached herd immunity, nor have they fared well economically or with respect to COVID-19 mortality. Swedes also voluntarily changed behavior more than is frequently assumed. While there has been a fascination with being Sweden during this pandemic, there are many misconceptions about their experience that are worth clearing up: *Myth Read more…
If I have a symptomatic case of COVID, what are the chances I have a full recovery?
Clinical Symptoms Data and Metrics
Alison Buttenheim, PhD MBA, Co-founder & Advisor
A: On *average*, about 80% of symptomatic cases will recover without hospitalization. But (big big but): your mileage may vary. One of the things epidemiologists study is the “natural history” of a disease — or how a given disease progresses in individuals from start to finish. Most diseases and conditions have a stylized or typical Read more…
What is the real risk of death from COVID-19? Is it actually worse than the flu?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: It’s complicated…. but YES! In this update of a post from July, we take stock of what’s new in tracking how lethal SARS-CoV-1 actually is. First some definitions: Case Fatality Rate (CFR): % of confirmed cases who die. In the U.S., the estimated CFR is currently 2.9% In the U.K., the estimated CFR is Read more…
What exactly is a “superspreader” and what makes one person a superspreader and another person not?
Data and Metrics Infection and Spread
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: The word “superspreader” simply refers to someone who is infected with COVID-19 and–somehow–manages to pass it along to a whole lot of other people. Specifically, a superspreader infects many more people than you would expect based on the averages. We’ve seen situations where one infected person got dozens of others sick. We’ve also seen Read more…
Can you put the United States death toll from Covid-19 into context?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Social and Racial Justice
Ashley Ritter, APRN, PhD
A: More than 200,000 Americans have lost their lives to Covid-19. Counting does not do justice to the memory of each individual lost or the societal impact on our communities. Putting this huge number into context depends upon how we frame this mass casualty, our personal biases, and our proximity to death. Coronavirus is one Read more…
Is COVID-19 becoming less deadly?
Data and Metrics
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
Q: Why are deaths not as high as in the Spring? A: There is no evidence that the virus itself has become milder. The lower numbers of deaths we see now compared to equivalent numbers of cases in the Spring is likely due to 3 main factors: 1) MORE TESTING: Early in the pandemic we Read more…
What’s going on with the rise in SARS-CoV-2 cases in Spain? It sounds really bad.
Biology/Immunity Data and Metrics Infection and Spread
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
Q: Since they were already hit hard once, shouldn’t they have some herd immunity? A: Spain has seen an alarming increase in confirmed cases since mid-July, even surpassing the U.S. in daily cases per capita. But so far, deaths have only ticked up slightly compared to the height of their epidemic in March and April Read more…
Did the Sturgis bike rally really cause 266,796 new COVID-19 cases?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Infection and Spread Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: Extremely unlikely. (but that doesn’t mean it didn’t increase transmission…) The Nerdy Girls want to give you straight talk about the data whether or not it comports with our pre-existing views (like the general idea that mass gatherings are *not* a good idea during the pandemic). Trust in science relies on having high standards Read more…
So the CDC just released data that said 94% of U.S. COVID-19 deaths had underlying medical conditions?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: FALSE. We’ve heard this interpretation is making the rounds, but it’s just not correct. What did the CDC data say? The report summarized all deaths in the U.S. from Feb until August 22nd with COVID-19 on the death certificate (161,392 total deaths). The CDC reports that for 6% of these deaths COVID-19 was the Read more…
Absolute vs. Relative Risk
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Lindsey Leininger, PhD MA
Friendly Pop Quiz! Which of these two statements sounds more impressive? (1) “Terrific Treatment reduced COVID mortality risk 50%!” (2) “Terrific Treatment reduced COVID mortality risk from 2 per 100 to 1 per 100!” The first of these two equivalent statements is, of course, the “right” answer. Which is why we scientists – in the Read more…
How do I know how much community transmission there is in my community? I am swimming in data! Someone throw me a rope!
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Infection and Spread
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: We recommend checking this awesome data exploration tool from Harvard University’s Global Health Institute. We’ve talked a lot here at Dear Pandemic about how important community spread of COVID is, and how it’s necessary for anything like safe reopening in any setting–from first grades to zoos. The map at the top of the Path Read more…
Are we OVER or UNDER counting COVID-19 deaths?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: We are likely UNDER counting official deaths due to COVID-19. How do we know? While we are not necessarily good at attributing deaths accurately to specific causes, developed countries are good at counting ALL deaths. While some deaths attributed to COVID-19 would have occurred during this period anyway, we can calculate “EXCESS MORTALITY” – Read more…
What’s up with this “programming error” in the Florida data on kids? How does this change things?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Testing and Contact Tracing
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: TL;DR Whether the positivity rate is 14% or 30% for kids, Florida still has a COVID problem. And with respect to the data error, we need to have a little understanding. Public health departments are trying to do something very difficult on shoestring budgets. Data collection in a crisis is messy and sometimes we Read more…
Population Basics Part 2
Data and Metrics
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
PART 2 on population basics from Dr. Michal Engelman. In case you missed Part 1 in this Nerdy Guest miniseries, here it is! Q: Ok, now I understand what a population (and even a sub-population!) is… but why does that matter for dealing with COVID-19? Population scientists can’t predict which people will get COVID-19, but Read more…
A: Nope to those three, but yes to leadership, preparation, testing & tracing, and calm, science-based communication. It’s true: Maine is doing very well by almost all metrics used to track the epidemic. While 21 states had their highest daily case counts in the last 3 weeks, Maine’s single day record cases happened way back Read more…
What is the real death toll due to COVID-19?
Data and Metrics Data LiteracyJennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
Q: Are we OVER or UNDER counting COVID-19 deaths? Wouldn’t a lot of these people have died anyway? A: The death toll has been HIGH. We are likely UNDER counting deaths due to COVID-19. While some deaths attributed to COVID-19 would have occurred during this period anyway, we have a way to account for this Read more…
Is it true that Sweden has gotten to herd immunity without lockdown? Should we all be doing what they are doing?
Data and Metrics Infection and Spread
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: No, Sweden has not reached herd immunity, nor have they fared well economically or with respect to COVID-19 mortality. Swedes also voluntarily changed behavior more than is frequently assumed. While there has been a fascination with being Sweden during this pandemic, there are many misconceptions about their experience that are worth clearing up: *Myth Read more…
If I have a symptomatic case of COVID, what are the chances I have a full recovery?
Clinical Symptoms Data and Metrics
Alison Buttenheim, PhD MBA, Co-founder & Advisor
A: On *average*, about 80% of symptomatic cases will recover without hospitalization. But (big big but): your mileage may vary. One of the things epidemiologists study is the “natural history” of a disease — or how a given disease progresses in individuals from start to finish. Most diseases and conditions have a stylized or typical Read more…
What is the real risk of death from COVID-19? Is it actually worse than the flu?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: It’s complicated…. but YES! In this update of a post from July, we take stock of what’s new in tracking how lethal SARS-CoV-1 actually is. First some definitions: Case Fatality Rate (CFR): % of confirmed cases who die. In the U.S., the estimated CFR is currently 2.9% In the U.K., the estimated CFR is Read more…
What exactly is a “superspreader” and what makes one person a superspreader and another person not?
Data and Metrics Infection and Spread
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: The word “superspreader” simply refers to someone who is infected with COVID-19 and–somehow–manages to pass it along to a whole lot of other people. Specifically, a superspreader infects many more people than you would expect based on the averages. We’ve seen situations where one infected person got dozens of others sick. We’ve also seen Read more…
Can you put the United States death toll from Covid-19 into context?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Social and Racial Justice
Ashley Ritter, APRN, PhD
A: More than 200,000 Americans have lost their lives to Covid-19. Counting does not do justice to the memory of each individual lost or the societal impact on our communities. Putting this huge number into context depends upon how we frame this mass casualty, our personal biases, and our proximity to death. Coronavirus is one Read more…
Is COVID-19 becoming less deadly?
Data and Metrics
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
Q: Why are deaths not as high as in the Spring? A: There is no evidence that the virus itself has become milder. The lower numbers of deaths we see now compared to equivalent numbers of cases in the Spring is likely due to 3 main factors: 1) MORE TESTING: Early in the pandemic we Read more…
What’s going on with the rise in SARS-CoV-2 cases in Spain? It sounds really bad.
Biology/Immunity Data and Metrics Infection and Spread
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
Q: Since they were already hit hard once, shouldn’t they have some herd immunity? A: Spain has seen an alarming increase in confirmed cases since mid-July, even surpassing the U.S. in daily cases per capita. But so far, deaths have only ticked up slightly compared to the height of their epidemic in March and April Read more…
Did the Sturgis bike rally really cause 266,796 new COVID-19 cases?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Infection and Spread Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: Extremely unlikely. (but that doesn’t mean it didn’t increase transmission…) The Nerdy Girls want to give you straight talk about the data whether or not it comports with our pre-existing views (like the general idea that mass gatherings are *not* a good idea during the pandemic). Trust in science relies on having high standards Read more…
So the CDC just released data that said 94% of U.S. COVID-19 deaths had underlying medical conditions?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: FALSE. We’ve heard this interpretation is making the rounds, but it’s just not correct. What did the CDC data say? The report summarized all deaths in the U.S. from Feb until August 22nd with COVID-19 on the death certificate (161,392 total deaths). The CDC reports that for 6% of these deaths COVID-19 was the Read more…
Absolute vs. Relative Risk
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Lindsey Leininger, PhD MA
Friendly Pop Quiz! Which of these two statements sounds more impressive? (1) “Terrific Treatment reduced COVID mortality risk 50%!” (2) “Terrific Treatment reduced COVID mortality risk from 2 per 100 to 1 per 100!” The first of these two equivalent statements is, of course, the “right” answer. Which is why we scientists – in the Read more…
How do I know how much community transmission there is in my community? I am swimming in data! Someone throw me a rope!
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Infection and Spread
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: We recommend checking this awesome data exploration tool from Harvard University’s Global Health Institute. We’ve talked a lot here at Dear Pandemic about how important community spread of COVID is, and how it’s necessary for anything like safe reopening in any setting–from first grades to zoos. The map at the top of the Path Read more…
Are we OVER or UNDER counting COVID-19 deaths?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: We are likely UNDER counting official deaths due to COVID-19. How do we know? While we are not necessarily good at attributing deaths accurately to specific causes, developed countries are good at counting ALL deaths. While some deaths attributed to COVID-19 would have occurred during this period anyway, we can calculate “EXCESS MORTALITY” – Read more…
What’s up with this “programming error” in the Florida data on kids? How does this change things?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Testing and Contact Tracing
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: TL;DR Whether the positivity rate is 14% or 30% for kids, Florida still has a COVID problem. And with respect to the data error, we need to have a little understanding. Public health departments are trying to do something very difficult on shoestring budgets. Data collection in a crisis is messy and sometimes we Read more…
Population Basics Part 2
Data and Metrics
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
PART 2 on population basics from Dr. Michal Engelman. In case you missed Part 1 in this Nerdy Guest miniseries, here it is! Q: Ok, now I understand what a population (and even a sub-population!) is… but why does that matter for dealing with COVID-19? Population scientists can’t predict which people will get COVID-19, but Read more…
Q: Are we OVER or UNDER counting COVID-19 deaths? Wouldn’t a lot of these people have died anyway? A: The death toll has been HIGH. We are likely UNDER counting deaths due to COVID-19. While some deaths attributed to COVID-19 would have occurred during this period anyway, we have a way to account for this Read more…
Is it true that Sweden has gotten to herd immunity without lockdown? Should we all be doing what they are doing?
Data and Metrics Infection and SpreadJennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: No, Sweden has not reached herd immunity, nor have they fared well economically or with respect to COVID-19 mortality. Swedes also voluntarily changed behavior more than is frequently assumed. While there has been a fascination with being Sweden during this pandemic, there are many misconceptions about their experience that are worth clearing up: *Myth Read more…
If I have a symptomatic case of COVID, what are the chances I have a full recovery?
Clinical Symptoms Data and Metrics
Alison Buttenheim, PhD MBA, Co-founder & Advisor
A: On *average*, about 80% of symptomatic cases will recover without hospitalization. But (big big but): your mileage may vary. One of the things epidemiologists study is the “natural history” of a disease — or how a given disease progresses in individuals from start to finish. Most diseases and conditions have a stylized or typical Read more…
What is the real risk of death from COVID-19? Is it actually worse than the flu?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: It’s complicated…. but YES! In this update of a post from July, we take stock of what’s new in tracking how lethal SARS-CoV-1 actually is. First some definitions: Case Fatality Rate (CFR): % of confirmed cases who die. In the U.S., the estimated CFR is currently 2.9% In the U.K., the estimated CFR is Read more…
What exactly is a “superspreader” and what makes one person a superspreader and another person not?
Data and Metrics Infection and Spread
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: The word “superspreader” simply refers to someone who is infected with COVID-19 and–somehow–manages to pass it along to a whole lot of other people. Specifically, a superspreader infects many more people than you would expect based on the averages. We’ve seen situations where one infected person got dozens of others sick. We’ve also seen Read more…
Can you put the United States death toll from Covid-19 into context?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Social and Racial Justice
Ashley Ritter, APRN, PhD
A: More than 200,000 Americans have lost their lives to Covid-19. Counting does not do justice to the memory of each individual lost or the societal impact on our communities. Putting this huge number into context depends upon how we frame this mass casualty, our personal biases, and our proximity to death. Coronavirus is one Read more…
Is COVID-19 becoming less deadly?
Data and Metrics
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
Q: Why are deaths not as high as in the Spring? A: There is no evidence that the virus itself has become milder. The lower numbers of deaths we see now compared to equivalent numbers of cases in the Spring is likely due to 3 main factors: 1) MORE TESTING: Early in the pandemic we Read more…
What’s going on with the rise in SARS-CoV-2 cases in Spain? It sounds really bad.
Biology/Immunity Data and Metrics Infection and Spread
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
Q: Since they were already hit hard once, shouldn’t they have some herd immunity? A: Spain has seen an alarming increase in confirmed cases since mid-July, even surpassing the U.S. in daily cases per capita. But so far, deaths have only ticked up slightly compared to the height of their epidemic in March and April Read more…
Did the Sturgis bike rally really cause 266,796 new COVID-19 cases?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Infection and Spread Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: Extremely unlikely. (but that doesn’t mean it didn’t increase transmission…) The Nerdy Girls want to give you straight talk about the data whether or not it comports with our pre-existing views (like the general idea that mass gatherings are *not* a good idea during the pandemic). Trust in science relies on having high standards Read more…
So the CDC just released data that said 94% of U.S. COVID-19 deaths had underlying medical conditions?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: FALSE. We’ve heard this interpretation is making the rounds, but it’s just not correct. What did the CDC data say? The report summarized all deaths in the U.S. from Feb until August 22nd with COVID-19 on the death certificate (161,392 total deaths). The CDC reports that for 6% of these deaths COVID-19 was the Read more…
Absolute vs. Relative Risk
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Lindsey Leininger, PhD MA
Friendly Pop Quiz! Which of these two statements sounds more impressive? (1) “Terrific Treatment reduced COVID mortality risk 50%!” (2) “Terrific Treatment reduced COVID mortality risk from 2 per 100 to 1 per 100!” The first of these two equivalent statements is, of course, the “right” answer. Which is why we scientists – in the Read more…
How do I know how much community transmission there is in my community? I am swimming in data! Someone throw me a rope!
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Infection and Spread
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: We recommend checking this awesome data exploration tool from Harvard University’s Global Health Institute. We’ve talked a lot here at Dear Pandemic about how important community spread of COVID is, and how it’s necessary for anything like safe reopening in any setting–from first grades to zoos. The map at the top of the Path Read more…
Are we OVER or UNDER counting COVID-19 deaths?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: We are likely UNDER counting official deaths due to COVID-19. How do we know? While we are not necessarily good at attributing deaths accurately to specific causes, developed countries are good at counting ALL deaths. While some deaths attributed to COVID-19 would have occurred during this period anyway, we can calculate “EXCESS MORTALITY” – Read more…
What’s up with this “programming error” in the Florida data on kids? How does this change things?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Testing and Contact Tracing
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: TL;DR Whether the positivity rate is 14% or 30% for kids, Florida still has a COVID problem. And with respect to the data error, we need to have a little understanding. Public health departments are trying to do something very difficult on shoestring budgets. Data collection in a crisis is messy and sometimes we Read more…
Population Basics Part 2
Data and Metrics
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
PART 2 on population basics from Dr. Michal Engelman. In case you missed Part 1 in this Nerdy Guest miniseries, here it is! Q: Ok, now I understand what a population (and even a sub-population!) is… but why does that matter for dealing with COVID-19? Population scientists can’t predict which people will get COVID-19, but Read more…
A: No, Sweden has not reached herd immunity, nor have they fared well economically or with respect to COVID-19 mortality. Swedes also voluntarily changed behavior more than is frequently assumed. While there has been a fascination with being Sweden during this pandemic, there are many misconceptions about their experience that are worth clearing up: *Myth Read more…
If I have a symptomatic case of COVID, what are the chances I have a full recovery?
Clinical Symptoms Data and MetricsAlison Buttenheim, PhD MBA, Co-founder & Advisor
A: On *average*, about 80% of symptomatic cases will recover without hospitalization. But (big big but): your mileage may vary. One of the things epidemiologists study is the “natural history” of a disease — or how a given disease progresses in individuals from start to finish. Most diseases and conditions have a stylized or typical Read more…
What is the real risk of death from COVID-19? Is it actually worse than the flu?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: It’s complicated…. but YES! In this update of a post from July, we take stock of what’s new in tracking how lethal SARS-CoV-1 actually is. First some definitions: Case Fatality Rate (CFR): % of confirmed cases who die. In the U.S., the estimated CFR is currently 2.9% In the U.K., the estimated CFR is Read more…
What exactly is a “superspreader” and what makes one person a superspreader and another person not?
Data and Metrics Infection and Spread
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: The word “superspreader” simply refers to someone who is infected with COVID-19 and–somehow–manages to pass it along to a whole lot of other people. Specifically, a superspreader infects many more people than you would expect based on the averages. We’ve seen situations where one infected person got dozens of others sick. We’ve also seen Read more…
Can you put the United States death toll from Covid-19 into context?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Social and Racial Justice
Ashley Ritter, APRN, PhD
A: More than 200,000 Americans have lost their lives to Covid-19. Counting does not do justice to the memory of each individual lost or the societal impact on our communities. Putting this huge number into context depends upon how we frame this mass casualty, our personal biases, and our proximity to death. Coronavirus is one Read more…
Is COVID-19 becoming less deadly?
Data and Metrics
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
Q: Why are deaths not as high as in the Spring? A: There is no evidence that the virus itself has become milder. The lower numbers of deaths we see now compared to equivalent numbers of cases in the Spring is likely due to 3 main factors: 1) MORE TESTING: Early in the pandemic we Read more…
What’s going on with the rise in SARS-CoV-2 cases in Spain? It sounds really bad.
Biology/Immunity Data and Metrics Infection and Spread
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
Q: Since they were already hit hard once, shouldn’t they have some herd immunity? A: Spain has seen an alarming increase in confirmed cases since mid-July, even surpassing the U.S. in daily cases per capita. But so far, deaths have only ticked up slightly compared to the height of their epidemic in March and April Read more…
Did the Sturgis bike rally really cause 266,796 new COVID-19 cases?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Infection and Spread Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: Extremely unlikely. (but that doesn’t mean it didn’t increase transmission…) The Nerdy Girls want to give you straight talk about the data whether or not it comports with our pre-existing views (like the general idea that mass gatherings are *not* a good idea during the pandemic). Trust in science relies on having high standards Read more…
So the CDC just released data that said 94% of U.S. COVID-19 deaths had underlying medical conditions?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: FALSE. We’ve heard this interpretation is making the rounds, but it’s just not correct. What did the CDC data say? The report summarized all deaths in the U.S. from Feb until August 22nd with COVID-19 on the death certificate (161,392 total deaths). The CDC reports that for 6% of these deaths COVID-19 was the Read more…
Absolute vs. Relative Risk
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Lindsey Leininger, PhD MA
Friendly Pop Quiz! Which of these two statements sounds more impressive? (1) “Terrific Treatment reduced COVID mortality risk 50%!” (2) “Terrific Treatment reduced COVID mortality risk from 2 per 100 to 1 per 100!” The first of these two equivalent statements is, of course, the “right” answer. Which is why we scientists – in the Read more…
How do I know how much community transmission there is in my community? I am swimming in data! Someone throw me a rope!
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Infection and Spread
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: We recommend checking this awesome data exploration tool from Harvard University’s Global Health Institute. We’ve talked a lot here at Dear Pandemic about how important community spread of COVID is, and how it’s necessary for anything like safe reopening in any setting–from first grades to zoos. The map at the top of the Path Read more…
Are we OVER or UNDER counting COVID-19 deaths?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: We are likely UNDER counting official deaths due to COVID-19. How do we know? While we are not necessarily good at attributing deaths accurately to specific causes, developed countries are good at counting ALL deaths. While some deaths attributed to COVID-19 would have occurred during this period anyway, we can calculate “EXCESS MORTALITY” – Read more…
What’s up with this “programming error” in the Florida data on kids? How does this change things?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Testing and Contact Tracing
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: TL;DR Whether the positivity rate is 14% or 30% for kids, Florida still has a COVID problem. And with respect to the data error, we need to have a little understanding. Public health departments are trying to do something very difficult on shoestring budgets. Data collection in a crisis is messy and sometimes we Read more…
Population Basics Part 2
Data and Metrics
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
PART 2 on population basics from Dr. Michal Engelman. In case you missed Part 1 in this Nerdy Guest miniseries, here it is! Q: Ok, now I understand what a population (and even a sub-population!) is… but why does that matter for dealing with COVID-19? Population scientists can’t predict which people will get COVID-19, but Read more…
A: On *average*, about 80% of symptomatic cases will recover without hospitalization. But (big big but): your mileage may vary. One of the things epidemiologists study is the “natural history” of a disease — or how a given disease progresses in individuals from start to finish. Most diseases and conditions have a stylized or typical Read more…
What is the real risk of death from COVID-19? Is it actually worse than the flu?
Data and Metrics Data LiteracyJennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: It’s complicated…. but YES! In this update of a post from July, we take stock of what’s new in tracking how lethal SARS-CoV-1 actually is. First some definitions: Case Fatality Rate (CFR): % of confirmed cases who die. In the U.S., the estimated CFR is currently 2.9% In the U.K., the estimated CFR is Read more…
What exactly is a “superspreader” and what makes one person a superspreader and another person not?
Data and Metrics Infection and Spread
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: The word “superspreader” simply refers to someone who is infected with COVID-19 and–somehow–manages to pass it along to a whole lot of other people. Specifically, a superspreader infects many more people than you would expect based on the averages. We’ve seen situations where one infected person got dozens of others sick. We’ve also seen Read more…
Can you put the United States death toll from Covid-19 into context?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Social and Racial Justice
Ashley Ritter, APRN, PhD
A: More than 200,000 Americans have lost their lives to Covid-19. Counting does not do justice to the memory of each individual lost or the societal impact on our communities. Putting this huge number into context depends upon how we frame this mass casualty, our personal biases, and our proximity to death. Coronavirus is one Read more…
Is COVID-19 becoming less deadly?
Data and Metrics
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
Q: Why are deaths not as high as in the Spring? A: There is no evidence that the virus itself has become milder. The lower numbers of deaths we see now compared to equivalent numbers of cases in the Spring is likely due to 3 main factors: 1) MORE TESTING: Early in the pandemic we Read more…
What’s going on with the rise in SARS-CoV-2 cases in Spain? It sounds really bad.
Biology/Immunity Data and Metrics Infection and Spread
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
Q: Since they were already hit hard once, shouldn’t they have some herd immunity? A: Spain has seen an alarming increase in confirmed cases since mid-July, even surpassing the U.S. in daily cases per capita. But so far, deaths have only ticked up slightly compared to the height of their epidemic in March and April Read more…
Did the Sturgis bike rally really cause 266,796 new COVID-19 cases?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Infection and Spread Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: Extremely unlikely. (but that doesn’t mean it didn’t increase transmission…) The Nerdy Girls want to give you straight talk about the data whether or not it comports with our pre-existing views (like the general idea that mass gatherings are *not* a good idea during the pandemic). Trust in science relies on having high standards Read more…
So the CDC just released data that said 94% of U.S. COVID-19 deaths had underlying medical conditions?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: FALSE. We’ve heard this interpretation is making the rounds, but it’s just not correct. What did the CDC data say? The report summarized all deaths in the U.S. from Feb until August 22nd with COVID-19 on the death certificate (161,392 total deaths). The CDC reports that for 6% of these deaths COVID-19 was the Read more…
Absolute vs. Relative Risk
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Lindsey Leininger, PhD MA
Friendly Pop Quiz! Which of these two statements sounds more impressive? (1) “Terrific Treatment reduced COVID mortality risk 50%!” (2) “Terrific Treatment reduced COVID mortality risk from 2 per 100 to 1 per 100!” The first of these two equivalent statements is, of course, the “right” answer. Which is why we scientists – in the Read more…
How do I know how much community transmission there is in my community? I am swimming in data! Someone throw me a rope!
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Infection and Spread
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: We recommend checking this awesome data exploration tool from Harvard University’s Global Health Institute. We’ve talked a lot here at Dear Pandemic about how important community spread of COVID is, and how it’s necessary for anything like safe reopening in any setting–from first grades to zoos. The map at the top of the Path Read more…
Are we OVER or UNDER counting COVID-19 deaths?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: We are likely UNDER counting official deaths due to COVID-19. How do we know? While we are not necessarily good at attributing deaths accurately to specific causes, developed countries are good at counting ALL deaths. While some deaths attributed to COVID-19 would have occurred during this period anyway, we can calculate “EXCESS MORTALITY” – Read more…
What’s up with this “programming error” in the Florida data on kids? How does this change things?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Testing and Contact Tracing
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: TL;DR Whether the positivity rate is 14% or 30% for kids, Florida still has a COVID problem. And with respect to the data error, we need to have a little understanding. Public health departments are trying to do something very difficult on shoestring budgets. Data collection in a crisis is messy and sometimes we Read more…
Population Basics Part 2
Data and Metrics
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
PART 2 on population basics from Dr. Michal Engelman. In case you missed Part 1 in this Nerdy Guest miniseries, here it is! Q: Ok, now I understand what a population (and even a sub-population!) is… but why does that matter for dealing with COVID-19? Population scientists can’t predict which people will get COVID-19, but Read more…
A: It’s complicated…. but YES! In this update of a post from July, we take stock of what’s new in tracking how lethal SARS-CoV-1 actually is. First some definitions: Case Fatality Rate (CFR): % of confirmed cases who die. In the U.S., the estimated CFR is currently 2.9% In the U.K., the estimated CFR is Read more…
What exactly is a “superspreader” and what makes one person a superspreader and another person not?
Data and Metrics Infection and SpreadMalia Jones, PhD MPH
A: The word “superspreader” simply refers to someone who is infected with COVID-19 and–somehow–manages to pass it along to a whole lot of other people. Specifically, a superspreader infects many more people than you would expect based on the averages. We’ve seen situations where one infected person got dozens of others sick. We’ve also seen Read more…
Can you put the United States death toll from Covid-19 into context?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Social and Racial Justice
Ashley Ritter, APRN, PhD
A: More than 200,000 Americans have lost their lives to Covid-19. Counting does not do justice to the memory of each individual lost or the societal impact on our communities. Putting this huge number into context depends upon how we frame this mass casualty, our personal biases, and our proximity to death. Coronavirus is one Read more…
Is COVID-19 becoming less deadly?
Data and Metrics
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
Q: Why are deaths not as high as in the Spring? A: There is no evidence that the virus itself has become milder. The lower numbers of deaths we see now compared to equivalent numbers of cases in the Spring is likely due to 3 main factors: 1) MORE TESTING: Early in the pandemic we Read more…
What’s going on with the rise in SARS-CoV-2 cases in Spain? It sounds really bad.
Biology/Immunity Data and Metrics Infection and Spread
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
Q: Since they were already hit hard once, shouldn’t they have some herd immunity? A: Spain has seen an alarming increase in confirmed cases since mid-July, even surpassing the U.S. in daily cases per capita. But so far, deaths have only ticked up slightly compared to the height of their epidemic in March and April Read more…
Did the Sturgis bike rally really cause 266,796 new COVID-19 cases?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Infection and Spread Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: Extremely unlikely. (but that doesn’t mean it didn’t increase transmission…) The Nerdy Girls want to give you straight talk about the data whether or not it comports with our pre-existing views (like the general idea that mass gatherings are *not* a good idea during the pandemic). Trust in science relies on having high standards Read more…
So the CDC just released data that said 94% of U.S. COVID-19 deaths had underlying medical conditions?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: FALSE. We’ve heard this interpretation is making the rounds, but it’s just not correct. What did the CDC data say? The report summarized all deaths in the U.S. from Feb until August 22nd with COVID-19 on the death certificate (161,392 total deaths). The CDC reports that for 6% of these deaths COVID-19 was the Read more…
Absolute vs. Relative Risk
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Lindsey Leininger, PhD MA
Friendly Pop Quiz! Which of these two statements sounds more impressive? (1) “Terrific Treatment reduced COVID mortality risk 50%!” (2) “Terrific Treatment reduced COVID mortality risk from 2 per 100 to 1 per 100!” The first of these two equivalent statements is, of course, the “right” answer. Which is why we scientists – in the Read more…
How do I know how much community transmission there is in my community? I am swimming in data! Someone throw me a rope!
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Infection and Spread
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: We recommend checking this awesome data exploration tool from Harvard University’s Global Health Institute. We’ve talked a lot here at Dear Pandemic about how important community spread of COVID is, and how it’s necessary for anything like safe reopening in any setting–from first grades to zoos. The map at the top of the Path Read more…
Are we OVER or UNDER counting COVID-19 deaths?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: We are likely UNDER counting official deaths due to COVID-19. How do we know? While we are not necessarily good at attributing deaths accurately to specific causes, developed countries are good at counting ALL deaths. While some deaths attributed to COVID-19 would have occurred during this period anyway, we can calculate “EXCESS MORTALITY” – Read more…
What’s up with this “programming error” in the Florida data on kids? How does this change things?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Testing and Contact Tracing
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: TL;DR Whether the positivity rate is 14% or 30% for kids, Florida still has a COVID problem. And with respect to the data error, we need to have a little understanding. Public health departments are trying to do something very difficult on shoestring budgets. Data collection in a crisis is messy and sometimes we Read more…
Population Basics Part 2
Data and Metrics
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
PART 2 on population basics from Dr. Michal Engelman. In case you missed Part 1 in this Nerdy Guest miniseries, here it is! Q: Ok, now I understand what a population (and even a sub-population!) is… but why does that matter for dealing with COVID-19? Population scientists can’t predict which people will get COVID-19, but Read more…
A: The word “superspreader” simply refers to someone who is infected with COVID-19 and–somehow–manages to pass it along to a whole lot of other people. Specifically, a superspreader infects many more people than you would expect based on the averages. We’ve seen situations where one infected person got dozens of others sick. We’ve also seen Read more…
Can you put the United States death toll from Covid-19 into context?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Social and Racial JusticeAshley Ritter, APRN, PhD
A: More than 200,000 Americans have lost their lives to Covid-19. Counting does not do justice to the memory of each individual lost or the societal impact on our communities. Putting this huge number into context depends upon how we frame this mass casualty, our personal biases, and our proximity to death. Coronavirus is one Read more…
Is COVID-19 becoming less deadly?
Data and Metrics
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
Q: Why are deaths not as high as in the Spring? A: There is no evidence that the virus itself has become milder. The lower numbers of deaths we see now compared to equivalent numbers of cases in the Spring is likely due to 3 main factors: 1) MORE TESTING: Early in the pandemic we Read more…
What’s going on with the rise in SARS-CoV-2 cases in Spain? It sounds really bad.
Biology/Immunity Data and Metrics Infection and Spread
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
Q: Since they were already hit hard once, shouldn’t they have some herd immunity? A: Spain has seen an alarming increase in confirmed cases since mid-July, even surpassing the U.S. in daily cases per capita. But so far, deaths have only ticked up slightly compared to the height of their epidemic in March and April Read more…
Did the Sturgis bike rally really cause 266,796 new COVID-19 cases?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Infection and Spread Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: Extremely unlikely. (but that doesn’t mean it didn’t increase transmission…) The Nerdy Girls want to give you straight talk about the data whether or not it comports with our pre-existing views (like the general idea that mass gatherings are *not* a good idea during the pandemic). Trust in science relies on having high standards Read more…
So the CDC just released data that said 94% of U.S. COVID-19 deaths had underlying medical conditions?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: FALSE. We’ve heard this interpretation is making the rounds, but it’s just not correct. What did the CDC data say? The report summarized all deaths in the U.S. from Feb until August 22nd with COVID-19 on the death certificate (161,392 total deaths). The CDC reports that for 6% of these deaths COVID-19 was the Read more…
Absolute vs. Relative Risk
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Lindsey Leininger, PhD MA
Friendly Pop Quiz! Which of these two statements sounds more impressive? (1) “Terrific Treatment reduced COVID mortality risk 50%!” (2) “Terrific Treatment reduced COVID mortality risk from 2 per 100 to 1 per 100!” The first of these two equivalent statements is, of course, the “right” answer. Which is why we scientists – in the Read more…
How do I know how much community transmission there is in my community? I am swimming in data! Someone throw me a rope!
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Infection and Spread
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: We recommend checking this awesome data exploration tool from Harvard University’s Global Health Institute. We’ve talked a lot here at Dear Pandemic about how important community spread of COVID is, and how it’s necessary for anything like safe reopening in any setting–from first grades to zoos. The map at the top of the Path Read more…
Are we OVER or UNDER counting COVID-19 deaths?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: We are likely UNDER counting official deaths due to COVID-19. How do we know? While we are not necessarily good at attributing deaths accurately to specific causes, developed countries are good at counting ALL deaths. While some deaths attributed to COVID-19 would have occurred during this period anyway, we can calculate “EXCESS MORTALITY” – Read more…
What’s up with this “programming error” in the Florida data on kids? How does this change things?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Testing and Contact Tracing
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: TL;DR Whether the positivity rate is 14% or 30% for kids, Florida still has a COVID problem. And with respect to the data error, we need to have a little understanding. Public health departments are trying to do something very difficult on shoestring budgets. Data collection in a crisis is messy and sometimes we Read more…
Population Basics Part 2
Data and Metrics
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
PART 2 on population basics from Dr. Michal Engelman. In case you missed Part 1 in this Nerdy Guest miniseries, here it is! Q: Ok, now I understand what a population (and even a sub-population!) is… but why does that matter for dealing with COVID-19? Population scientists can’t predict which people will get COVID-19, but Read more…
A: More than 200,000 Americans have lost their lives to Covid-19. Counting does not do justice to the memory of each individual lost or the societal impact on our communities. Putting this huge number into context depends upon how we frame this mass casualty, our personal biases, and our proximity to death. Coronavirus is one Read more…
Is COVID-19 becoming less deadly?
Data and MetricsJennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
Q: Why are deaths not as high as in the Spring? A: There is no evidence that the virus itself has become milder. The lower numbers of deaths we see now compared to equivalent numbers of cases in the Spring is likely due to 3 main factors: 1) MORE TESTING: Early in the pandemic we Read more…
What’s going on with the rise in SARS-CoV-2 cases in Spain? It sounds really bad.
Biology/Immunity Data and Metrics Infection and Spread
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
Q: Since they were already hit hard once, shouldn’t they have some herd immunity? A: Spain has seen an alarming increase in confirmed cases since mid-July, even surpassing the U.S. in daily cases per capita. But so far, deaths have only ticked up slightly compared to the height of their epidemic in March and April Read more…
Did the Sturgis bike rally really cause 266,796 new COVID-19 cases?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Infection and Spread Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: Extremely unlikely. (but that doesn’t mean it didn’t increase transmission…) The Nerdy Girls want to give you straight talk about the data whether or not it comports with our pre-existing views (like the general idea that mass gatherings are *not* a good idea during the pandemic). Trust in science relies on having high standards Read more…
So the CDC just released data that said 94% of U.S. COVID-19 deaths had underlying medical conditions?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: FALSE. We’ve heard this interpretation is making the rounds, but it’s just not correct. What did the CDC data say? The report summarized all deaths in the U.S. from Feb until August 22nd with COVID-19 on the death certificate (161,392 total deaths). The CDC reports that for 6% of these deaths COVID-19 was the Read more…
Absolute vs. Relative Risk
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Lindsey Leininger, PhD MA
Friendly Pop Quiz! Which of these two statements sounds more impressive? (1) “Terrific Treatment reduced COVID mortality risk 50%!” (2) “Terrific Treatment reduced COVID mortality risk from 2 per 100 to 1 per 100!” The first of these two equivalent statements is, of course, the “right” answer. Which is why we scientists – in the Read more…
How do I know how much community transmission there is in my community? I am swimming in data! Someone throw me a rope!
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Infection and Spread
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: We recommend checking this awesome data exploration tool from Harvard University’s Global Health Institute. We’ve talked a lot here at Dear Pandemic about how important community spread of COVID is, and how it’s necessary for anything like safe reopening in any setting–from first grades to zoos. The map at the top of the Path Read more…
Are we OVER or UNDER counting COVID-19 deaths?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: We are likely UNDER counting official deaths due to COVID-19. How do we know? While we are not necessarily good at attributing deaths accurately to specific causes, developed countries are good at counting ALL deaths. While some deaths attributed to COVID-19 would have occurred during this period anyway, we can calculate “EXCESS MORTALITY” – Read more…
What’s up with this “programming error” in the Florida data on kids? How does this change things?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Testing and Contact Tracing
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: TL;DR Whether the positivity rate is 14% or 30% for kids, Florida still has a COVID problem. And with respect to the data error, we need to have a little understanding. Public health departments are trying to do something very difficult on shoestring budgets. Data collection in a crisis is messy and sometimes we Read more…
Population Basics Part 2
Data and Metrics
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
PART 2 on population basics from Dr. Michal Engelman. In case you missed Part 1 in this Nerdy Guest miniseries, here it is! Q: Ok, now I understand what a population (and even a sub-population!) is… but why does that matter for dealing with COVID-19? Population scientists can’t predict which people will get COVID-19, but Read more…
Q: Why are deaths not as high as in the Spring? A: There is no evidence that the virus itself has become milder. The lower numbers of deaths we see now compared to equivalent numbers of cases in the Spring is likely due to 3 main factors: 1) MORE TESTING: Early in the pandemic we Read more…
What’s going on with the rise in SARS-CoV-2 cases in Spain? It sounds really bad.
Biology/Immunity Data and Metrics Infection and SpreadJennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
Q: Since they were already hit hard once, shouldn’t they have some herd immunity? A: Spain has seen an alarming increase in confirmed cases since mid-July, even surpassing the U.S. in daily cases per capita. But so far, deaths have only ticked up slightly compared to the height of their epidemic in March and April Read more…
Did the Sturgis bike rally really cause 266,796 new COVID-19 cases?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Infection and Spread Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: Extremely unlikely. (but that doesn’t mean it didn’t increase transmission…) The Nerdy Girls want to give you straight talk about the data whether or not it comports with our pre-existing views (like the general idea that mass gatherings are *not* a good idea during the pandemic). Trust in science relies on having high standards Read more…
So the CDC just released data that said 94% of U.S. COVID-19 deaths had underlying medical conditions?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: FALSE. We’ve heard this interpretation is making the rounds, but it’s just not correct. What did the CDC data say? The report summarized all deaths in the U.S. from Feb until August 22nd with COVID-19 on the death certificate (161,392 total deaths). The CDC reports that for 6% of these deaths COVID-19 was the Read more…
Absolute vs. Relative Risk
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Lindsey Leininger, PhD MA
Friendly Pop Quiz! Which of these two statements sounds more impressive? (1) “Terrific Treatment reduced COVID mortality risk 50%!” (2) “Terrific Treatment reduced COVID mortality risk from 2 per 100 to 1 per 100!” The first of these two equivalent statements is, of course, the “right” answer. Which is why we scientists – in the Read more…
How do I know how much community transmission there is in my community? I am swimming in data! Someone throw me a rope!
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Infection and Spread
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: We recommend checking this awesome data exploration tool from Harvard University’s Global Health Institute. We’ve talked a lot here at Dear Pandemic about how important community spread of COVID is, and how it’s necessary for anything like safe reopening in any setting–from first grades to zoos. The map at the top of the Path Read more…
Are we OVER or UNDER counting COVID-19 deaths?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: We are likely UNDER counting official deaths due to COVID-19. How do we know? While we are not necessarily good at attributing deaths accurately to specific causes, developed countries are good at counting ALL deaths. While some deaths attributed to COVID-19 would have occurred during this period anyway, we can calculate “EXCESS MORTALITY” – Read more…
What’s up with this “programming error” in the Florida data on kids? How does this change things?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Testing and Contact Tracing
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: TL;DR Whether the positivity rate is 14% or 30% for kids, Florida still has a COVID problem. And with respect to the data error, we need to have a little understanding. Public health departments are trying to do something very difficult on shoestring budgets. Data collection in a crisis is messy and sometimes we Read more…
Population Basics Part 2
Data and Metrics
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
PART 2 on population basics from Dr. Michal Engelman. In case you missed Part 1 in this Nerdy Guest miniseries, here it is! Q: Ok, now I understand what a population (and even a sub-population!) is… but why does that matter for dealing with COVID-19? Population scientists can’t predict which people will get COVID-19, but Read more…
Q: Since they were already hit hard once, shouldn’t they have some herd immunity? A: Spain has seen an alarming increase in confirmed cases since mid-July, even surpassing the U.S. in daily cases per capita. But so far, deaths have only ticked up slightly compared to the height of their epidemic in March and April Read more…
Did the Sturgis bike rally really cause 266,796 new COVID-19 cases?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Infection and Spread Uncertainty and MisinformationJennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: Extremely unlikely. (but that doesn’t mean it didn’t increase transmission…) The Nerdy Girls want to give you straight talk about the data whether or not it comports with our pre-existing views (like the general idea that mass gatherings are *not* a good idea during the pandemic). Trust in science relies on having high standards Read more…
So the CDC just released data that said 94% of U.S. COVID-19 deaths had underlying medical conditions?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: FALSE. We’ve heard this interpretation is making the rounds, but it’s just not correct. What did the CDC data say? The report summarized all deaths in the U.S. from Feb until August 22nd with COVID-19 on the death certificate (161,392 total deaths). The CDC reports that for 6% of these deaths COVID-19 was the Read more…
Absolute vs. Relative Risk
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Lindsey Leininger, PhD MA
Friendly Pop Quiz! Which of these two statements sounds more impressive? (1) “Terrific Treatment reduced COVID mortality risk 50%!” (2) “Terrific Treatment reduced COVID mortality risk from 2 per 100 to 1 per 100!” The first of these two equivalent statements is, of course, the “right” answer. Which is why we scientists – in the Read more…
How do I know how much community transmission there is in my community? I am swimming in data! Someone throw me a rope!
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Infection and Spread
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: We recommend checking this awesome data exploration tool from Harvard University’s Global Health Institute. We’ve talked a lot here at Dear Pandemic about how important community spread of COVID is, and how it’s necessary for anything like safe reopening in any setting–from first grades to zoos. The map at the top of the Path Read more…
Are we OVER or UNDER counting COVID-19 deaths?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: We are likely UNDER counting official deaths due to COVID-19. How do we know? While we are not necessarily good at attributing deaths accurately to specific causes, developed countries are good at counting ALL deaths. While some deaths attributed to COVID-19 would have occurred during this period anyway, we can calculate “EXCESS MORTALITY” – Read more…
What’s up with this “programming error” in the Florida data on kids? How does this change things?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Testing and Contact Tracing
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: TL;DR Whether the positivity rate is 14% or 30% for kids, Florida still has a COVID problem. And with respect to the data error, we need to have a little understanding. Public health departments are trying to do something very difficult on shoestring budgets. Data collection in a crisis is messy and sometimes we Read more…
Population Basics Part 2
Data and Metrics
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
PART 2 on population basics from Dr. Michal Engelman. In case you missed Part 1 in this Nerdy Guest miniseries, here it is! Q: Ok, now I understand what a population (and even a sub-population!) is… but why does that matter for dealing with COVID-19? Population scientists can’t predict which people will get COVID-19, but Read more…
A: Extremely unlikely. (but that doesn’t mean it didn’t increase transmission…) The Nerdy Girls want to give you straight talk about the data whether or not it comports with our pre-existing views (like the general idea that mass gatherings are *not* a good idea during the pandemic). Trust in science relies on having high standards Read more…
So the CDC just released data that said 94% of U.S. COVID-19 deaths had underlying medical conditions?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and MisinformationJennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: FALSE. We’ve heard this interpretation is making the rounds, but it’s just not correct. What did the CDC data say? The report summarized all deaths in the U.S. from Feb until August 22nd with COVID-19 on the death certificate (161,392 total deaths). The CDC reports that for 6% of these deaths COVID-19 was the Read more…
Absolute vs. Relative Risk
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Lindsey Leininger, PhD MA
Friendly Pop Quiz! Which of these two statements sounds more impressive? (1) “Terrific Treatment reduced COVID mortality risk 50%!” (2) “Terrific Treatment reduced COVID mortality risk from 2 per 100 to 1 per 100!” The first of these two equivalent statements is, of course, the “right” answer. Which is why we scientists – in the Read more…
How do I know how much community transmission there is in my community? I am swimming in data! Someone throw me a rope!
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Infection and Spread
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: We recommend checking this awesome data exploration tool from Harvard University’s Global Health Institute. We’ve talked a lot here at Dear Pandemic about how important community spread of COVID is, and how it’s necessary for anything like safe reopening in any setting–from first grades to zoos. The map at the top of the Path Read more…
Are we OVER or UNDER counting COVID-19 deaths?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: We are likely UNDER counting official deaths due to COVID-19. How do we know? While we are not necessarily good at attributing deaths accurately to specific causes, developed countries are good at counting ALL deaths. While some deaths attributed to COVID-19 would have occurred during this period anyway, we can calculate “EXCESS MORTALITY” – Read more…
What’s up with this “programming error” in the Florida data on kids? How does this change things?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Testing and Contact Tracing
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: TL;DR Whether the positivity rate is 14% or 30% for kids, Florida still has a COVID problem. And with respect to the data error, we need to have a little understanding. Public health departments are trying to do something very difficult on shoestring budgets. Data collection in a crisis is messy and sometimes we Read more…
Population Basics Part 2
Data and Metrics
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
PART 2 on population basics from Dr. Michal Engelman. In case you missed Part 1 in this Nerdy Guest miniseries, here it is! Q: Ok, now I understand what a population (and even a sub-population!) is… but why does that matter for dealing with COVID-19? Population scientists can’t predict which people will get COVID-19, but Read more…
A: FALSE. We’ve heard this interpretation is making the rounds, but it’s just not correct. What did the CDC data say? The report summarized all deaths in the U.S. from Feb until August 22nd with COVID-19 on the death certificate (161,392 total deaths). The CDC reports that for 6% of these deaths COVID-19 was the Read more…
Absolute vs. Relative Risk
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and MisinformationLindsey Leininger, PhD MA
Friendly Pop Quiz! Which of these two statements sounds more impressive? (1) “Terrific Treatment reduced COVID mortality risk 50%!” (2) “Terrific Treatment reduced COVID mortality risk from 2 per 100 to 1 per 100!” The first of these two equivalent statements is, of course, the “right” answer. Which is why we scientists – in the Read more…
How do I know how much community transmission there is in my community? I am swimming in data! Someone throw me a rope!
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Infection and Spread
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: We recommend checking this awesome data exploration tool from Harvard University’s Global Health Institute. We’ve talked a lot here at Dear Pandemic about how important community spread of COVID is, and how it’s necessary for anything like safe reopening in any setting–from first grades to zoos. The map at the top of the Path Read more…
Are we OVER or UNDER counting COVID-19 deaths?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: We are likely UNDER counting official deaths due to COVID-19. How do we know? While we are not necessarily good at attributing deaths accurately to specific causes, developed countries are good at counting ALL deaths. While some deaths attributed to COVID-19 would have occurred during this period anyway, we can calculate “EXCESS MORTALITY” – Read more…
What’s up with this “programming error” in the Florida data on kids? How does this change things?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Testing and Contact Tracing
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: TL;DR Whether the positivity rate is 14% or 30% for kids, Florida still has a COVID problem. And with respect to the data error, we need to have a little understanding. Public health departments are trying to do something very difficult on shoestring budgets. Data collection in a crisis is messy and sometimes we Read more…
Population Basics Part 2
Data and Metrics
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
PART 2 on population basics from Dr. Michal Engelman. In case you missed Part 1 in this Nerdy Guest miniseries, here it is! Q: Ok, now I understand what a population (and even a sub-population!) is… but why does that matter for dealing with COVID-19? Population scientists can’t predict which people will get COVID-19, but Read more…
Friendly Pop Quiz! Which of these two statements sounds more impressive? (1) “Terrific Treatment reduced COVID mortality risk 50%!” (2) “Terrific Treatment reduced COVID mortality risk from 2 per 100 to 1 per 100!” The first of these two equivalent statements is, of course, the “right” answer. Which is why we scientists – in the Read more…
How do I know how much community transmission there is in my community? I am swimming in data! Someone throw me a rope!
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Infection and SpreadMalia Jones, PhD MPH
A: We recommend checking this awesome data exploration tool from Harvard University’s Global Health Institute. We’ve talked a lot here at Dear Pandemic about how important community spread of COVID is, and how it’s necessary for anything like safe reopening in any setting–from first grades to zoos. The map at the top of the Path Read more…
Are we OVER or UNDER counting COVID-19 deaths?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and Misinformation
Jennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: We are likely UNDER counting official deaths due to COVID-19. How do we know? While we are not necessarily good at attributing deaths accurately to specific causes, developed countries are good at counting ALL deaths. While some deaths attributed to COVID-19 would have occurred during this period anyway, we can calculate “EXCESS MORTALITY” – Read more…
What’s up with this “programming error” in the Florida data on kids? How does this change things?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Testing and Contact Tracing
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: TL;DR Whether the positivity rate is 14% or 30% for kids, Florida still has a COVID problem. And with respect to the data error, we need to have a little understanding. Public health departments are trying to do something very difficult on shoestring budgets. Data collection in a crisis is messy and sometimes we Read more…
Population Basics Part 2
Data and Metrics
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
PART 2 on population basics from Dr. Michal Engelman. In case you missed Part 1 in this Nerdy Guest miniseries, here it is! Q: Ok, now I understand what a population (and even a sub-population!) is… but why does that matter for dealing with COVID-19? Population scientists can’t predict which people will get COVID-19, but Read more…
A: We recommend checking this awesome data exploration tool from Harvard University’s Global Health Institute. We’ve talked a lot here at Dear Pandemic about how important community spread of COVID is, and how it’s necessary for anything like safe reopening in any setting–from first grades to zoos. The map at the top of the Path Read more…
Are we OVER or UNDER counting COVID-19 deaths?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Uncertainty and MisinformationJennifer Beam Dowd, PhD
A: We are likely UNDER counting official deaths due to COVID-19. How do we know? While we are not necessarily good at attributing deaths accurately to specific causes, developed countries are good at counting ALL deaths. While some deaths attributed to COVID-19 would have occurred during this period anyway, we can calculate “EXCESS MORTALITY” – Read more…
What’s up with this “programming error” in the Florida data on kids? How does this change things?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Testing and Contact Tracing
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
A: TL;DR Whether the positivity rate is 14% or 30% for kids, Florida still has a COVID problem. And with respect to the data error, we need to have a little understanding. Public health departments are trying to do something very difficult on shoestring budgets. Data collection in a crisis is messy and sometimes we Read more…
Population Basics Part 2
Data and Metrics
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
PART 2 on population basics from Dr. Michal Engelman. In case you missed Part 1 in this Nerdy Guest miniseries, here it is! Q: Ok, now I understand what a population (and even a sub-population!) is… but why does that matter for dealing with COVID-19? Population scientists can’t predict which people will get COVID-19, but Read more…
A: We are likely UNDER counting official deaths due to COVID-19. How do we know? While we are not necessarily good at attributing deaths accurately to specific causes, developed countries are good at counting ALL deaths. While some deaths attributed to COVID-19 would have occurred during this period anyway, we can calculate “EXCESS MORTALITY” – Read more…
What’s up with this “programming error” in the Florida data on kids? How does this change things?
Data and Metrics Data Literacy Testing and Contact TracingMalia Jones, PhD MPH
A: TL;DR Whether the positivity rate is 14% or 30% for kids, Florida still has a COVID problem. And with respect to the data error, we need to have a little understanding. Public health departments are trying to do something very difficult on shoestring budgets. Data collection in a crisis is messy and sometimes we Read more…
Population Basics Part 2
Data and Metrics
Malia Jones, PhD MPH
PART 2 on population basics from Dr. Michal Engelman. In case you missed Part 1 in this Nerdy Guest miniseries, here it is! Q: Ok, now I understand what a population (and even a sub-population!) is… but why does that matter for dealing with COVID-19? Population scientists can’t predict which people will get COVID-19, but Read more…
A: TL;DR Whether the positivity rate is 14% or 30% for kids, Florida still has a COVID problem. And with respect to the data error, we need to have a little understanding. Public health departments are trying to do something very difficult on shoestring budgets. Data collection in a crisis is messy and sometimes we Read more…
Population Basics Part 2
Data and MetricsMalia Jones, PhD MPH
PART 2 on population basics from Dr. Michal Engelman. In case you missed Part 1 in this Nerdy Guest miniseries, here it is! Q: Ok, now I understand what a population (and even a sub-population!) is… but why does that matter for dealing with COVID-19? Population scientists can’t predict which people will get COVID-19, but Read more…
PART 2 on population basics from Dr. Michal Engelman. In case you missed Part 1 in this Nerdy Guest miniseries, here it is! Q: Ok, now I understand what a population (and even a sub-population!) is… but why does that matter for dealing with COVID-19? Population scientists can’t predict which people will get COVID-19, but Read more…
