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Infection and Spread

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Did the Sturgis bike rally really cause 266,796 new COVID-19 cases?

Data and Metrics Data Literacy Infection and Spread Uncertainty and Misinformation

A: Extremely unlikely. (but that doesn’t mean it didn’t increase transmission…) The Nerdy Girls want to give you straight talk about the data whether or not it comports with our pre-existing views (like the general idea that mass gatherings are *not* a good idea during the pandemic). Trust in science relies on having high standards Read more…

Should I buy an air purifier for my home? I’ve heard some people say that the virus particles are too small for HEPA filters to work.

Infection and Spread Staying Safe

A: It’s *probably* a good idea, and HEPA filters easily remove the size particles that carry the virus (the virus does not fly around naked, but embedded in mucus and saliva, yum!). Compared to overstocking Clorox wipes, cleaning your air may provide important COVID-19 protection for you and your family, especially over the winter as Read more…

Will the 6 feet/2 meter rule keep me safe indoors?

Infection and Spread Socializing Staying Safe

A: Not by itself. Important additional considerations include: • Ventilation • Number of people in the room • Duration of contact • Type of activity (silent, speaking, shouting/singing) • Use of masks Why are these additional precautions needed? Don’t airborne droplets fall to the ground within this distance? The history of the 6ft/2m distancing rule Read more…

I hear there has been a confirmed case of SARS-CoV-2 re-infection in Hong Kong?! How worried should I be?

Biology/Immunity Infection and Spread

A: Not very. In the words of immunologist Dr. Akiko Iwasaki, “This is no cause for alarm – this is a textbook example of how immunity should work.” What do we know? In a press release yesterday, researchers described the first confirmed case of re-infection in a 33-year old Hong Kong man returning from Spain. Read more…

How do I know how much community transmission there is in my community? I am swimming in data! Someone throw me a rope!

Data and Metrics Data Literacy Infection and Spread

A: We recommend checking this awesome data exploration tool from Harvard University’s Global Health Institute. We’ve talked a lot here at Dear Pandemic about how important community spread of COVID is, and how it’s necessary for anything like safe reopening in any setting–from first grades to zoos. The map at the top of the Path Read more…

What is “community transmission”? Isn’t *all* of it community transmission?

Infection and Spread

A: In short, yes. At this point, it’s all community transmission—except in rare cases when contact tracers can pinpoint one specific point of exposure and identify the exact chain of transmission from person-to-person. Community transmission is a technical epidemiology term that means new cases can’t be linked back to a particular point of origin through Read more…

What safety precautions for clothing, supplies, and shoes can I take if I am sending my children back to school?

Families/Kids Infection and Spread Reopening School Staying Safe

A: While there are no stringent guidelines, we know that we should wash everything frequently with soap and water. Continue to follow SMART guidelines. And make it a routine and it will be easier to remember. Here are some guidelines for children returning to school in descending order of importance: 1) Reinforce hand washing. Pack Read more…

Seven Months In: What’s the State of the Science?

Infection and Spread Staying Safe Testing and Contact Tracing

Andrew Joseph, Helen Branswell, and Elizabeth Conney of StatNews have pulled together a tour-de-force synthesis of what science does – and does not – yet know about SARS-CoV-2 and its companion disease, COVID-19. A truly terrific read Some highlights: SPACE AND PLACE MATTER. A LOT. Transmission risk is greatly elevated in crowded indoor spaces with Read more…

What’s the deal with the news that COVID-19 immunity only lasts up to 3 months?

Biology/Immunity Infection and Spread Uncertainty and Misinformation

A: NOPE In a news story picked up by many media outlets yesterday, headlines regarding the duration of immunity were inferred from recent CDC guidance on quarantine. The relevant sentence from the CDC was: “People who have tested positive for COVID-19 do not need to quarantine or get tested again for up to 3 months Read more…

What is considered “exposure” to someone who has COVID-19? Once you find out you were exposed, what should you do?

Infection and Spread Staying Safe

A: If you have been in close contact (i.e., < 6 feet away for ≥ 15 minutes) with someone diagnosed with COVID-19 anytime starting 2 days before their symptoms developed and up until the case meets the criteria to end isolation (i.e., at least 10 days have passed since the day of symptom onset AND Read more…

Is it safe to start seeing friends indoors?

Families/Kids Infection and Spread Socializing Staying Safe

A: Not yet. While there are ways to minimize risks when indoors (increasing ventilation with outdoor air by opening windows or circulating air/using a high quality air filter/minimizing length of indoor interaction), experts still agree that the outdoors are where we should be. This point is very much emphasized in a recent preprint. TL; DR: Read more…

COVID Outbreak at Georgia Camp

Infection and Spread

Today we are highlighting another *outstanding* source for COVID info aimed for the general public, Your local epidemiologist, who gave us permission to repost their recent report on what happened in a COVID outbreak at a summer camp in Georgia. Attack rate among kids at an overnight camp in Georgia. A case analysis. What happened? Read more…