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Why do all the models tell us something different about what to expect from the pandemic?

Data and Metrics Data Literacy

A: It is complicated, but can be summed up well in this article by 538. TL; DR there are three primary factors: 1) Exponential growth makes models have great variation (think the estimates of 200,000 deaths vs. 2 million deaths); 2) There are many unknown factors (such as regarding the true rates of infected persons); Read more…

COVID-19 Data by Age

Data and Metrics Data Literacy

Even more reasons for collective vigilance: New data from CDC the suggests that young people make up a significant fraction of those hospitalized with COVID-19 thus far in the US: 38% of those hospitalized were between 20 and 54, with nearly half of ICU admissions under age 65. Fortunately, the youngest age group, people 19 Read more…